Sunday, February 08, 2009

*ProForecasts Feb 8, 2009: “Have not lost a dime since 2003!” (documented)*

*ProForecasts Feb 8, 2009: “Have not lost a dime since 2003!” (documented)*

ProForecasts February 8th, 2009

The information provided herein is for information purposes only. In no way should the listing of any security be construed as financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The buying and selling of securities involves risk and may not be suitable for everyone. Although this document is copyrighted, feel free to forward it to anyone. Prosperity is to be shared!
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IMPORTANT: Premium subscribers, who receive ProForecasts in the beginning of the week, are ONLY paying for our time to do this research every week and every day. Premium Subscribers are NOT paying for any of the information contained herein. Any information contained herein comes from a consensus of at least two or more sources.
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“Knowing the direction of the market is the most valuable information for every investor.” VestorVest

MARKET DIRECTION CONSENSUS:
“slightly bullish”; “market gaining strength”

Short-term: UP
Long-term: DN

While the top newsletter for 2008 (37.6%, Crawford Perspectives) forecasts that there will a deep depression, I forecast that during 2009 we will start to come out of this recession and regain most of the losses. In the next two to three years we may experience a depression due to the amount of debt the US (and many other countries) took on to bail us lately.

IT'S OFFICIAL! Crawford Perspectives is ranked #1 Market Timer for the 2008 calendar year by Hulbert Financial digest! http://www.crawfordperspectives.com/ Although the Mars/Uranus Crash Cycle is now active during this frame. That will continue for the period Aug 2008 thru March 2009. If this one does compete with these larger historical negatives, then the above dates will witness a greater Crash than has yet been experienced!
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TOP STOCK(s) recommended by two or more sources
plus ProForecasts proprietary analysis:


These two were recommended by three top 100 sources:
ESI ITT Educational (128.87)
TSYS Telecommunications Systems (8.58)

STOCKS IN CONSENSUS (recommended by two or more sources):
APOL, MCD, POT, UPS; TIPs
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STOCK-CHECKER/PORTFOLIO-REVIEW: Introductory price!

Have your stock evaluated by the top ten stock evaluation systems: $10Have your whole portfolio evaluated (up to 20 stocks) by the top ten stock evaluation systems: $100
Email your specific stock or portfolio of up to 20 stocks to propredict@proforecasts.com .
The information provided herein is for information purposes only. In no way should the listing of any security be construed as financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The buying and selling of securities involves risk and may not be suitable for everyone.

“Knowing when to sell is at least as important as knowing when to buy.” J. Sonnenburg

“When inflation comes back, gold is going to go bananas.” MSN-Money

INVESTING BEGINNER:
“You need to study an hour for each stock you own and should have between five and ten stocks for diversity.” (Cramer) If you can’t, reconsider where you should be in securities at all or have us do the homework for you with “Stock-Checker” and “Portfolio Review”.

1. KISS – Keep It Simple Stupid
2. Know what you are investing in and the risks. Only limit orders, never market orders. Trailing stop-loss orders but ride the positive ones up with a preset exit point.

INVESTING EXPERIENCED/TRADERS:
1. Don’t over-trade.
2. Have a focus on one trading style and master it. Don’t keep switching to the most recent fad in trading styles.

LESSON: “When to sell”
1. Deteriorating gross and/or deteriorating operating margins
2. AR/Sales going up (red flag)3. Net income going up and operating cash flow going down
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*ProForecasts Feb 8, 2009:
Market recovery in December 2008.
Dec1: 8149.09, Dec12: 8629.68, UP 480.59, UP 5.9%.
Out of the futures market starting December 2007. Dec1-07: 13,314.57,
Dec1-08: AVOIDED LOSS of 5165.48pts, 38.7%
(documented at http://groups.yahoo.com/group/ProPredictPredictions/ and many other places on the net since 2003)

LONG-TERM RESULTS: Have not lost a dime since 2003!
Conservative (ST, MT, LT): 31% (5% annualized)
Aggressive (TS, SP, SC): 34.6% (5.9% annualized)
Speculative (30, 1Q, 6M): 32.9% (5.6% annualized)

No individual fund has lost a dime since 2003 and to emulate a traditional buy-and-hold strategy, we stayed in the market during the 40% market downturn in 2008.

Futures:
DJIA AND NASDAQ FUTURES based on "MarketSignals"
Each account starts with $100,000 so
2003: 306.6% return
2004: 185.2% return
2005: 296.5% return
2006: 219.0% return
2007: 105.9% return
2008: out of the market
2009: just now getting back in (stay tuned)
TOTAL: 1113.2% (annualized 190.8%)
(documented at http://propredict.proforecasts.com/mocktrading.htm and at http://www.mocktrading.com/ since 2003)

Portfolio: 2003 to 2009:
Conservative (no futures): 31% (5% annualized)
Aggressive (5% futures): 34.6% + 55.7% = 90.3% (15.5% annualized)
Speculative (10% futures): 32.9% + 111.3% = 144.2% (24.7% annualized)

Symbol Name Rules NAV Today Value
JMF1 ProPredict Mutual Fund TS Yes $14.97 0.00% $1,497,423.95 Overview
JMF2 ProPredict Mutual Fund 30days No $10.10 0.00% $1,009,840.96 Overview
JMF3 ProPredict Mutual Fund ST Yes $14.61 0.00% $1,461,312.21 Overview
JMF4 ProPredict Mutual Fund Qtr No $10.99 0.00% $1,099,272.39 Overview
JMF5 ProPredict Mutual Fund MT Yes $12.16 0.00% $1,216,130.63 Overview
JMF6 ProPredict Mutual Fund LT Yes $12.53 0.00% $1,253,002.46 Overview
JMF7 ProPredict Mutual Fund 6months No $18.77 -0.00% $1,877,493.89 Overview
JMF8 ProPredict Mutual Fund SPEC Yes $13.20 0.00% $1,319,995.36 Overview
JMF9 ProPredict Mutual Fund SC Yes $12.21 -0.00% $1,221,038.61 Overview

(documented at http://www.proforecasts.com/results.htm and many other places on the net since 2003)
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“The aggressive, but controlled trade is the one that wins.” Gryphon Financial

SOURCES FOR COLLECTIVE INTELLIGENCE:

(Sources are weighted based on previous accuracy but no source is considered more than the others. We are just reviewing all recommendations and finding what is recommended by more than one person. From that subgroup I then intuitively pick one that I feel has the most potential.) We typically have a group of 200 stocks that have been recommended from these top 60 sources:

Top 10 financial newsletters: (private list of ten costing over $3000/month).
Top 10 financial blogs: Seeking Alpha, Blogging Stocks, Herb Greenberg’s Market Blog, Dealbook, Infectious Greed, 24/7 Wall Street, Think B.I.G., Trader Feed, Carl Futia’s blog, Footnoted.org, The AAO Weblog.
Top 10 financial newspapers and magazines: Investors Business Daily, The Wall Street Journal, The Financial Times, Forbes, Business Week, Fortune, Barrons.
Top 10 market “whales”: Warren Buffet (building list now for the biggest investors)
Top 10 financial websites: Yahoo, AOL, MSN, Forbes, CNN, BNET, The Street , Reuters-Finance, Reed Business Information.
Top 10 financial television and radio programs: CNBC while markets are open, CNBC-MadMoney, CNBC-Fast Money, Fox-Bulls and Bears, Fox-Cavuto on Business, Fox-Forbes, Fox-Cashin In, Wall Street Journal Report, PBS-Nightly Business Report, PBS-Wall Street Week.

So with this ezine, ProForecasts, you save and still get the benefit of the collective intelligence of 60 top 10 sources and proven market proprietary analysis by Jeff Sonnenburg, Intuitive Consultant since 1986.
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Disclaimer:The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice. All site content, including advertisements, shall not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument, or to participate in any particular trading or investment strategy. The ideas expressed on this site are solely the opinions of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the opinions of sponsors or firms affiliated with the author(s). The author may or may not have a position in any company or advertiser referenced above. Any action that you take as a result of information, analysis, or advertisement on this site is ultimately your responsibility. Consult your investment adviser before making any investment decisions.

“The main argument I hear is that the tools I use are too expensive. Too expensive? If the tools I (and professional traders) use are too expensive, then quite frankly you are not ready to trade. You are either undercapitalized, or you do not have the proper mindset. If you are undercapitalized, stop trading until you have enough money. If you are just cheap - well, stop trading until you change your attitude.”From TraderX http://traderx.blogspot.com/2008/12/looking-ahead-to-2009.html

(c) Jeff Sonnenburg, 2009

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